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Art of the Future
News of the Future The Future in Design Today
December 2006

Dear Anika,

Michael and Anika have been busy consulting with forward thinkers in Detroit, Washington, Montreal and Boston. We would like to share some of our recent learnings and insights in this newsletter.

In this issue
  • Awareness & Economics Drive Demand for Sustainable Energy
  • Rethinking the Office: Why we go to work
  • Structure Drives Future Behavior
  • The Structural Dynamics of Top Teams

  • Rethinking the Office: Why we go to work
    Intersection of Drivers

    Dateline: Montreal, November 2006 - The offices we work in often impede rather than support productivity. The primary driver of any office "rethinking" is to provide appropriate spaces for work to take place. The work environment is a combination of physical, technical and social factors. Quiet, heads-down workspace is still a requirement in most office environments. More and more, however, the need for communal space in various forms is being recognized as the enabler of employee engagement. These interactive space needs vary considerably: from a small room with acoustic privacy for person-to- person conversations or sensitive phone calls, to cafe settings that double as informal, lively collaboration spaces, to places for serendipitous meetings in corridors and stairways. Chance encounters often eliminate the need for a formally scheduled meeting or conversation and lead to faster decisions.

    Meeting with a group of senior Canadian government officials involved with real property, Art of the Future found that the majority had experience in implementing new office concepts. Those that had spoke passionately about improved morale, better communications and renewed commitment to the work of the agency that the changes had enabled.

    Social network analysis can be useful in locating people in relation to how work actually gets done. There is value in changing workspace assignments periodically to heighten awareness of surroundings, knowledge of resources and to provide the opportunity to create new connections.

    Mobility within the office does not necessarily equate to unstructured openness. Although we may be social animals, we still have a need for privacy and territoriality. This need can be met with half-open offices that give the worker a sense of enclosure while also providing a visual link to activity in the immediate surroundings. This awareness leads to a natural modulation of voice and an opportunity to join in or tune out as appropriate.


    Structure Drives Future Behavior
    Art of the Future

    Boston, November 2006 - Getting below surface events into an understanding of forces compelling these events allows us to better understand how the future might unfold. At the Pegasus International Systems Thinking in Action Conference, Michael, Anika and Art of the Future associate, Rick Karash, delivered a session that demonstrated how Structural Dynamics, an integration of systems thinking and scenario planning, can be used to create views into the future.

    For example, the cost per minute of a phone call to India could be determined for any point in time. By itself, that doesn't provide much information. Some insight is gained when we look at how that rate has trended over time. And, taking it a step further, if we can connect the drop in long distance telecommunication rates to other trends in society, government and/or industry [such as advances in technologies and increased demand due to off- shoring] we might be able to discover some cause and effect relationships.

    These relationships are durable. They have persisted over time and are likely to continue. These structural relationships can thus be used to understand the complex forces shaping the future. Participants in the session learned to apply Structural Dynamics to consider alternative futures for any system they care about.


    The Structural Dynamics of Top Teams

    Washington, October 2006 - The dynamics of complexity drive even the most idealistic and enthusiastic leadership teams inevitably toward hyper- differentiation, distrust and dysfunction. High hopes and aspirations end up mired in confusion about what went wrong. This happens time and time again in all types of organizations.

    Social scientist theorist and co-founder of Power & Systems, Barry Oshry, has identified this systemic chain of events and suggests strategies for intervention. Building on Oshry's formulation, Art of the Future used Structural Dynamics to visualize these forces and to adapt the archetype to a particular client situation. By doing this, it became possible to pin-point where a change in behavior could have maximum impact. The correct intervention can cause the same systemic forces to move in a positive direction.

    Michael and Anika presented this approach at the recent gathering of Organization Workshop trainers in Arlington VA. It provides an additional way of seeing why breakdown at the top of organizations occurs consistently in business, non-profits, and government. Structural Dynamics is a way to identify high leverage intervention points and shift the focus of top teams away from internal squabbling toward a more productive and life- sustaining work environment.

    For more information or to request slides, email info@artofthefuture.com.


    Awareness & Economics Drive Demand for Sustainable Energy
    Stan Ovshinsky & Michael Sales

    Detroit, September 2006 - Some of the most advanced work in the world is being done on thin film photovoltaics, solid state hydrogen, nickel metal hydride, and fuel cell technology at a small company located in the backyard of US automakers. Many people consider the company the foundation stone of "The Hydrogen Economy," a sweeping set of innovations that promise to provide a virtually infinite amount of energy with zero negative environmental impact. In conjunction with a meeting of the Society for Organizational Learning held at Ford Motor Company, Art of the Future led a group of system thinkers on a "learning journey' to visit the future of energy. Energy Conversion Devices (ECD) is a forty-six-year-old company founded by Stan and Iris Ovshinsky. ECD holds hundreds of patents in the alternative energy field. All hybrid vehicles on the road, for example, rely on ECD inventions. And, in information technologies, Ovshinsky believes he has found an alternative to the transistor that will yield many more iterations of Moore's law.

    The tour included ECD's renown thin film photovoltaics factory producing nine mile rolls of pv roofing material. We had a presentation of ECD's solid state hydrogen power systems. The entire group then took a spin in a Toyota Prius that was retrofitted to run on solid state hydrogen cylinders at Ovonic Hydrogen Systems in Rochester Hills MI, an ECD company. This zero emissions vehicle is used daily for highway commuting by ECD employees, and it is refueled at a hydrogen pumping station on the premises of the facility. In fuel cell technology, ECD contends that their product will enable them to do more for less than its various competitors in this burgeoning field.

    As practictioners of organizational learning, we were particularly focused on how ECD's culture fosters such amazing technological results. The highlight of our visit was when Stan Ovshinsky (pictured here with Michael Sales) joined the group and spent almost two hours discussing ECD's role in the accelerated timeline for the emergence of the hydrogen economy. Named a Hero of the Planet by Time magazine in 1999, intimate of multiple Nobel laureates, and the personal enabler of many solutions to pressing world problems, Ovshinsky described the workings of his operation in detail insisting that “Ideas are a team product at ECD.” He also spoke about war and how a bit more attention to technologies to solve problems rather than create them could go a long way toward eliminating this systemically-driven scourge. Asked to summarize ECD's operating principles, Ovshinsky responded: “Love.” Theodore Hesburgh, president emeritus of Notre Dame, in his recent book about the Ovshinskys wrote: “ In a very real sense, Stan Ovshinsky and the Hydrogen Economy is a love story - love for science, love for coworkers, love for all of humanity, and Stan's love for Iris.”

    An article on Stan Ovshinsky and his work appeared on the front page of the Wall Street Journal on Monday, November 27, 2006.

    Click here for a link to the WSJ article.
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