Anticipatory leadership |
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Anticipatory Leaders do at least three things very well: Futurist: A relentless fascination with the future. Anticipatory leaders are incessantly curious about the future. They constantly discern how emerging social trends, technical and scientific innovations, political forces, legislation, environmental impacts and economic conditions might affect organizational possibilities and their insights are manifested in agile organizational strategies that create competitive advantage. They are visionaries. Strategist: An ability to think systemically, both in terms of how forces outside one's organization are integrated in causal patterns to generate opportunities and threats and the interaction between these external dynamics and the internal functioning of one's own organization. Anticipatory
leaders understand the
complex system of forces that drive current events. They
are like seismologists: comprehending the deep structure
of their own organization and the external
economic, political and competitive systems in which their
companies exist. They
know the fundamental dynamics shaping
the events and trends of their organization's life. They
are system
thinkers.
Mensch: An interpersonal skillfulness, enthusiasm, concern, empathy, up-beat energy that mobilizes and motivates others to do something great. Anticipatory
leaders orchestrate the
organizational
learning process. They design human systems
that learn to use
these forces to their advantage. They
disseminate and deploy relevant external information throughout the
entirety of their organizations. They
possess the interpersonal competence to motivate, mobilize, and
communicate. They are educators.
Anticipatory Leaders' sense of the future is so strong it is as if the future is alive in the present. This perspective allows them to open doors to new ways of seeing, hearing, thinking and feeling in a way that makes everyone else say, "Yeah. That's really cool. Why didn't I do that!?"
Many
leaders are so busy running the race, they don't see the enemy behind
the next hill.1
Art
of the Future works with
organizations to develop anticipatory leadership through... Leaders
who are naturally
curious
about a broad range of developments that might affect their
organizations in
one, five, ten, fifteen, or even more than 100 years from the present
are Forward Focused Thinkers. This
orientation is relatively unique at the individual level, and it is
even less
common for whole organizations. Organizational leaders frequently
“outsource” forward focused thinking to an internal strategic planning
function or to consultants. Art of the Future
convenes
structured conversations among executives, managers and line workers to
demonstrate that everyone is already thinking about the future,
usually with a lot of creativity. These
conversations inject the practice of seeing past the present into an
organization's blood stream and make Forward Focused Thinking part of the organizational
DNA. Paying attention to the Forward Focused Thinking that is
always going on in an organization sets the stage for the
organizational
agility that is so needed as a response to inevitable change.
Art of the
Future works with executives and managers to
convene Forward Focused conversations both by facilitating them and by
teaching
Anticipatory Leaders how to design and manage them. 2. Structural Dynamics Art of the
Future's Structural Dynamics process
shows client organizations
how to develop a comprehensive picture of future possibilities.
Structural Dynamics is a disciplined approach to modeling the
complexity
around any mission critical topic. Unlike some scenario planning
efforts
which concentrate on the crafting of intriguing stories,
Structural
Dynamics explore the embedded connections and relationships between the
elements of a system that cause today's events. Structural
Dynamics
displays the forces affecting any domain of interest in a coordinated
network
of interacting elements. Anticipatory Leaders who become skilled at
Structural
Dynamics know how to integrate the rigor of left brained systems
analysis with
the creativity of right brained storytelling to galvanize action at all
levels
of organizational life.
To take advantage of opportunities and defend against threats, Anticipatory Organizations need to be robust human systems.2 They have to forsee ways to move ahead, and they have to bounce back vigorously from temporary setbacks. As discussed in an article we’ve published on this topic, "Understanding the Power of Position: A Diagnostic Model," robust systems can be designed by Anticipatory Leaders. Left on automatic pilot, organizations will be robust only as long as the environment in which they exist fits very neatly with their existing talents. Clay Christensen’s The Innovators Dilemma is a virtual catalog of organizations that did very well as long as the structural dynamics of their context remained within certain tolerances. But, when some fundamental element of the system changed (for example, when the disposable income of a demographic group grew while that of another shrank), the organization didn’t anticpate the change and couldn’t master it quickly enough to survive and thrive. Robust human
systems maximize and combine the power of four ingredients:
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| It
is second nature for
Robust
Human Systems to anticipate the future. They
are comprised of energetic, curious, and
communicating
learners. They buzz. They glow. Anticipatory Leaders are the bellows blowing
oxygen into these systems. They
design Life Sustaining Environments. They make it easy to have difficult
conversations. |
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Anticipatory leaders use the power of integration to bring people together for conversations that don't happen in most organizations. Improving the quality of workplace dynamics is an example of this kind of challenge: it's an issue everywhere but the people from different functions are not called to focus on the subject. Anticipatory leaders know how to convene conversations around important issues. |
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Because we understand
the
elements of a robust system, Art of the Future
helps Anticipatory
Leaders maintain
them through our executive coaching
services, our training
programs, our event design
activities and
our facilitation services. |
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Art of the Future has published extensively on this subject. See:
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| ________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Based on concept developed by Jean-Francois Manzoni, professor at INSEAD, 2 Art of the Future’s ideas about robust human systems are based on the seminal thinking of Barry Oshry, Seeing Systems, Berret-Koehler, 1996 |
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